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From:

Kwaku Kwarteng

Member of Parliament

Obuasi West Constituency

Republic of Ghana

 

To:

Minister

Ministry of Finance

Accra

 

Hon Minister, FALSE GDP GROWTH FIGURE IN 2015 BUDGET STATEMENT

 

Almost everything in the management of our economy depends on our Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures. The real GDP growth figure reflects the pace at which we are generating economic activity and creating jobs for our people. The amount of money printed by the Bank of Ghana depends on our GDP figures. Our public debt, revenue, arrears and many other important variables are stated as ratios of our GDP. Therefore a wrong determination of GDP-related figures could have very serious consequences for the general management of the economy and our ability to improve the lives of our people.

 

It is for this reason that I write to draw your attention to the false real GDP growth figure reported in the 2015 Budget Statement that you presented to Parliament yesterday. In paragraph 40 and other parts of the budget statement, you state that the economy would expand in real terms by 6.900 percent at the close of 2014.

 

In fact, you additionally present the following graph to illustrate the trend of growth figures between 2008 and 2014:

 

Figure 1: Annual GDP Growth Rate, 2009-2014

 

But in the tables of the same 2015 Budget Statement, you provide the following absolute figures for the volumes of economic activity generated in 2013 and 2014. ACTIVITY (GH˘ million)

2013

2014

1. AGRICULTURE 7,003.38 7,371.87
2. INDUSTRY 8,528.24 8,917.82
3. SERVICES 15,582.90 16,298.49
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT AT BASIC PRICES 31,114.52 32,588.18
Indirect Taxes 2,714.13 2,840.21
Financial Intermediary Services (Indirectly Measured) 1,314.63 1,404.04
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT IN PURCHASERS' VALUE 32,514.02 34,024.35

 

From the figures you have provided, GDP (in purchasers' value) only grew in real terms from GH˘32,514.02 million in 2013 to GH˘34,024.35 million in 2014. This represents 4.645 percent growth, not the 6.900 percent you have reported.


This is serious misreporting that undermines the credibility of the entire budget statement and economic policy of the government.


Please take immediate steps to correct this misrepresentation before businesses and other interested entities (both local and international) use this wrong figure for their purposes.


Thank you.
Kwaku Kwarteng
(MP, Obuasi West Constituency

Parliament House, Accra, Ghana. +233 244 838 735 or +233 204 838 735 kwaku@kwarteng.com

 
 

 

 

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