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In This Issue...Links to the NewsMarch 11, 2016

 

Economist predicts challenging times ahead
Masahudu Ankiilu Kunateh, Ghanadot

Accra, Feb 23, Ghandot - An economist and a research fellow at the Institute of Statistical , Social and Economic Research, University of Ghana, Dr.Peter Quartey, has predicted that Ghana ’s economy would face challenging times in the first quarter of the year as the economy was more likely to feel the pinch of the global economic crises.

Dr.Quartey was speaking on the state of the Ghanaian economy at the first iforum- an investor seminar Series organized by Ecobank Development Corporation.

He indicated that although the economy was currently challenged, it was important to make an in-depth assessment of the true state of the economy before making any comment so as not to send wrong signals to the investor community.

He decried the poor state of data and statistics information accuracy on the Ghana ’s economy which did not help determine the true state of the economy.

He indicated that the debate over the true state of the Ghanaian economy should not be limited only to the size of the budget deficit which stood at 15% of GDP in 2008 spurred by the large expansion in expenditure, the ever increasing oil prices on the international market among many others.

Dr.Quartey however warned that such high and un-sustained budget deficits should be checked since they have repercussions on the various macroeconomic fundamentals such as inflation, exchange and interest rates among others.

He however outlined some relief options such as increased revenue mobilization, improved fiscal discipline and accelerated growth for consideration by policy makers to help cushion the economy in these challenging times.

He indicated that major issues such as the gaping budget deficit, and decline in revenue were likely to worsen due to effects of the global financial crises in terms of exports, remittances, foreign direct investment and aid flows into the country, hence the need for government to consider a cut in utility subsidies to support the growth of Non-Traditional Exports.

He said government should as a matter of urgency, increase its resource revenue mobilization agencies to minimize leakages and increase the tax net to rope in the informal sector.

He said the proposed Fiscal Responsibility Law which aims at improving fiscal discipline should be enacted without delay whiles all efforts are made to avoid waste such as unnecessary per diems associated with workshops and ensuring efficient use of public vehicles.

Dr. Qaurtey stressed further that there was   the need to ensure proper financial administrative practices to minimize corruption in the country

On ensuring accelerated growth, Dr.Quatey indicated that although agriculture still remains a significant structure of the Ghanaian economy, the dependency on rain fed farms and the use of outmoded basic implements as opposed to a greater use of irrigated farms, called for the need to modernize agriculture to rake in the needed development.

“Private sector development including agriculture has not been promoted and remains mere rhetoric. Share of credit to agric for instance has declined from 9.4% in 2002 to 4.9% in 2007 and 4.2% in 2008.”

He however called for policy directions to reduce cost of credit and cost of doing business and to improve access.

Touching on policy options for poverty reduction and improved livelihood and inequality he mentioned the need to improve income and reduce inequality. “this should go with enhanced productivity through vocational, technical skills, and increased use of improved technology in production “he said.

Ghanadot
 


 

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